Month: August 2021

Electoral uncertainty: at the polls the undecided will be a key factor

TORONTO – The second week of the election campaign brings with it the unknowns and the grey areas of the first. Confirming the climate of uncertainty that is accompanying the approach to the appointment at the polls on September 20th comes the new Ipsos poll that certifies that the outcome of the early elections is far from decided. On the contrary, the volatility of the electorate is much higher than in the past and, ultimately, the choice of the great mass of undecided will be the real needle in the balance at the polls. 

Ontario, more than 600 cases for the fourth day in a row

TORONTO – For the fourth consecutive day, Ontario recorded more than 600 new cases of Covid-19 today: to be precise, 639 (zero deaths). It is true that the number is lower than on Sunday (722 cases), but it still marks a significant increase compared to the 526 infections reported last Monday. And it is also true that the tests carried out were less: 20,000, compared to 23,075 on Sunday. The seven-day average is now 580, up nearly 24% over the week and a whopping 104% over two weeks ago. But transmission growth has slowed: in early August, cases doubled every eight days. However, according to Ontario’s scientific table, every 100 people who contract the virus will transmit it on average to 119 other people, and cases will double every 22 days. 

Essex: A toss up between the Conservatives and NDP

The electoral district of Essex (formerly Essex-Windsor), located in southwestern Ontario, borders onto Lake Erie. The constituency includes the towns of Amherstburg, Essex, Kingsville, LaSalle and parts of the Town of Lakeshore.

Chris Lewis, the current MP, is seeking re-election for the Conservatives. He has represented the riding since 2019, when he was elected with 41.4% of the vote. He beat out the then Incumbent, Tracey Ramsey, who took 34.6% of the vote.